Winter weather forecast 2015-2016: warm and wet in Europe?


By meteomorris on 10 September 2015 · 0

NOAA (National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration) is part of the US government and can be compared to your national weather institutes. Every now and then they publish their season expectations for Europe. Where nature is giving us plenty of signs for a cold winter to come, the computer models do not agree. Sepp Haslinger promised us one of the coldest winters in a long time last week, but NOAA comes up with different conclusions so far. Below their expectations for the coming winter months.

Warmer than **normal

​**You'll see the expectations for November, December, January and February. Blue colors indicate a month, which is colder than normal, while orange and red means the expectation is that it will be warmer than normal. The trend according to NOAA is clear: warmer than normal.

Temperature outlook NOAA

Wetter than normal

You'll see the expectations for November, December, January and February. Orange colors indicate a month drier than normal, green means that the expectation is that the month will be wetter than normal. The trend according to NOAA: slightly wetter than normal.

Precipitation outlook NOAA

Light at the end of the tunnel?

First, we'll just have to wait and see if this outlook is anything near correct. But just if it is correct, there are many positive things as well. The temperature in December is normal and the western Alps might even get a little more precipitation. Another positive point can be seen in January, where the temperature in the northern Alps is normal and there might be some more precipitation than normal. It will be on in the southern Alps in February. More precipitation than normal and slightly higher temperatures.

What we have to do with this information? Good question. At the end of winter 15-16 we'll look back. For now it's just great speculation.


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