Mild Christmas, storm coming in after (PA#8)


By meteomorris on 24 December 2017 · 4

We are on the eve of a turbulent week. A storm that is still south of Greenland and moves across the Atlantic towards France in no time. The beautiful weather in the Alps is coming to an end after Boxing Day. The weather will change from Wednesday the 27th of December, when a storm depression will position itself north and south of the Alps and a lot of snow will fall in the Alps between Wednesday and Friday (PowderAlert #8).

Storm south of Greenland
Storm south of Greenland

According to the latest calculations, the temperature will rise again after this period, but there is still a lot of uncertainty in the long-term calculations. In this forecast:

  • Sunny and mild
  • wePowder Pro members: thanks for your support!!
  • Second front coming in on Boxing Day
  • Snowfall from Wednesday to Friday
  • Long term: mild end of the year?

Sunny and mild

The snow cover has become pretty humid in many places up to around 1200-1700 meters due the warm front that came in on Friday. In addition, Saturday was very mild with a freezing level well above 2000 meters. You can now find a crusty layer on top of the snow cover in a lot of places up to about 1600 meters (but on some steeper sunny faces even up to 2300 meters) after the cold night from Saturday to Sunday. Nevertheless you can still find good snow on north facing slopes, the slopes where the rays of the sun don't radiate directly and just below the tree line. You just have to do something a bit more to find it.

Sunday and Monday will be extremely mild and the temperature will rise to 5-8 degrees above zero at 2000 meters. It will be even warmer directly in the sun. Fortunately, the night to Monday is clear and cold and the sun is relatively low so there aren't much consequences for the snow cover.

wePowder Pro members: thanks for your support!!

We've been receiving daily emails, direct messages on wePowder and Facebook and text messages full of questions: 'Where to go?', 'What is a return d'est?', 'What do you think the long-term will do?', 'Where can I find treeruns?','I'm going to Japan, how will it be the next two weeks? But also compliments: 'I had never been in this area, what a revelation', 'Super service, keep it up!', 'Thank you very much, we hit the jackpot' and sometimes even bottles of wine at the door.

We have introduced wePowder Pro this winter. You'll get extra weather and terrain data for a small donation per year (you can not even buy a day pass for that amount in many places). This allows us to further expand our service and we have found a way to express your support to us. Many of the readers of wePowder have done that already and the whole wePowder team and myself are grateful for that. This allows us to keep on developing to make our service even better. Thank you very much!

Are you not a wePowder Pro yet, but do you regularly read the weather forecast or use the services on wePowder? With an upgrade to wePowder Pro you support us, you can express your gratitude and you'll ride more powder. And it works great for your karma as well. Thanks! Oh, and you'll get a free 7-day trial when you register yourself on wePowder. No strings attached!

Second front coming in on Boxing Day

The first (weak) front passes through the Alps on Tuesday. This will result in 2-15 cm of snow in the western Alps. The snow line is around 1000-1200 meters and the clouds are moving into the Alps during the day. It's a typical transition day before the real storm violence comes in. The wind turns to the southwest at the end of Boxing Day and the Po-plain is filled with clouds. The first signals of a wam front.

New active front
New active front

Snowfall from Wednesday to Friday

It starts to snow heavily in the southern French Alps ([check out this article to learn more about this region] (http://wepowder.com/en/forum/topic/251430)) and on the south side of the main alpine ridge in the night to Wednesday. There is a Föhn from the south in the nothern Alps and the night becomes very mild. It snows from about 500 to 1000 meters south of the main alpine ridge, where the quantities especially in the Italian Alps can increase considerably during the course of the morning. Expect 30-70, locally 90 cm by Thursday morning.

Cold air arrives in the Alps from the northwest during the course of the morning and it starts to snow in the northern French Alps and later in the rest of the northern Alps. You can expect 20-50 cm of fresh snow there. Thursday will be a powder day, especially in combination with the thick snow cover.

The sun will temporarily come out on Thursday and you can enjoy all that fresh powder. It looks like the entire Alps will have a powder day. I'll give you some advice on where to go later this week. There will be a new front coming in from the northwest with snowfall deep into the valleys for the French Alps on Friday. It is still cold and it is again a beautiful powder day where you are best off in the woods because of the snowfall.

Long term: mild end of the year?

A warm front could arrive during Saturday and that could bring rain up to high altitude. Details and timing are still big questions. Have a great Christmas!

Stay stoked, Morris

Comments


  • Chester_Tartsnatcher
    Expert
    Chester_Tartsnatcher op 24 December 2017 · 19:14
    Marvelous meteo momentum, Morris! May the meteo momentum maintain mostly moist midst months marshalling.
  • scotty9
    scotty9 op 25 December 2017 · 16:16
    Thanks for the great forecasting, been a real pleasure this season so far! Merry Christmas!
  • meteomorris
    Expert
    meteomorris op 26 December 2017 · 20:37
    @scotty9, Thanks! @Chester_Tartsnatcher let’s stay in touch. Would be great to share some lines once you are in Europe.
    May the powder be with you.
  • Chester_Tartsnatcher
    Expert
    Chester_Tartsnatcher op 27 December 2017 · 03:18
    @MeteoMorris: with landing in Yurp being 2 weeks out, the current outline is the first 6 days in LG, then pass through GVA to Engelberg for 3 days, then finish in Andermatt for 3 days. I'll update as time draws nigh. Happy Solstice!

Reply

You need to be logged in to post a comment in this topic. Login or create an account.

Upgrade to wepowder Pro

  • Extended 14 day forecast
  • Slope angle and exposition terrain layers
  • Inspirational freeride routes
wePowder Pro