The first powder has been skied in Chamonix, more and more people are getting stoked and are eager for winter to start. The images of Monday morning are therefore wonderful to start the week with. A nice, but especially thin layer of snow in combination with some sun. The image below of Tignes shows the difference between yesterday (Sunday, October 6) and today (Monday, October 7).
It is still snowing lightly in the east of the Alps, but the sun is coming out over there on Tuesday as well. Temporary, because it starts to rain and snow again from the west on Tuesday evening. A storm depression enters the northwest of Europe and the associated front hits the northern Alps. It doesn't get really cold. The freezing level drops from 3,000 meters to 2,000 meters in the western Alps and 1,700 meters in the Eastern Alps on Wednesday. Significant snow only falls in the high alpine above about 2500-2700 meters. Expect an average of 10-20 cm and according to the current calculations it won't be more than that.
The high pressure influence increases after the passing of the front on Thursday. The precipitation dries up, the supply of cooler air is cut off and temperature rises in the afternoon. It will be mild and an Indian Summer will make its way into the Alps. Not unusual for the time of the year. According to the latest calculations, it will last well into the next week.
It's great weather for some trails, rock climbing in the sun, a mountain bike ride or just lazing in the sun in the Alps at the end of this week. Think of bringing an extra layer for the end of the day. Despite the mild temperatures it is getting colder in the evening.
Winter is definitely getting closer. Until then: get fit and invest in your knowledge. If you are already a participant in Mountain Academy, resume the course. If not, start with Mountain Academy now and get access to knowledge that will make you more aware of the risks and that will help you to make better decisions in the backcountry. Winter is coming!
Stay stoked, Morris