Yes, you read that right. The end of the drought in sight. And no, don't start staring at the maps, because you can't really see something on it yet. A high pressure system over the Mediterranean is dominating the weather in the Alps since November (for 45 days already, which is quite exceptional). The results are that there's no pretty much no natural snow to be found in the southern Alps and the temperatures are unusually high. This is caused by a very strong Polar Vortex which provides a powerful jet stream. As a result cold air is not allowed to reach the Alps. It's only winter in Canada, the Northwest of the US, northern Scandinavia and northern Russia.
But the end is in sight. Such situations usually no longer hold than 45-60 days and so we should start to prepare for a change in the weather. It depends on which measuring point we take a look at, but the Polar Vortex is influencing the weather in the Alps for 30-45 days. And this will come to an end. According to the data from the past we still have to wait around 15 days and that's not visible on the maps.
The maps can't even agree on the changes over the next 10 days. According to the European measurements it continues to stay mild and dry the next couple of days. The American models see some precipitation on the maps, but it's still very speculative. They see some snow for the southern Alps. Much more interesting is from which the direction the breakthrough eventually is coming from. From the west with snow for the southern Alps first? Or will the Russian Bear (very cold air from the east) come towards the Alps? We will see. The coming weeks will be crucial for the rest of our winter.
Stay stoked, Morris